Gold Preserves Purchasing Power — Fiat Destroys It

Gold Preserves Purchasing Power — Fiat Destroys It

Lynette Zang:  2-6-2026

Inflation doesn’t happen by accident — it’s built into the fiat system.

While gold preserves purchasing power over decades, fiat currency is designed to lose value over time.

This video breaks down why gold remains real money, why purchasing power keeps eroding, and what history tells us about the fate of paper currencies.

Chapters:

00:00 – Fiat Money vs Sound Money

 00:36 – The Paradigm Shift to Gold and Silver

01:07 – The Four Pillars of Sound Money

01:39 – Why Gold Forces Government Discipline

 02:16 – Inflation by Design and Wealth Confiscation

03:17 – Will the Dollar Be Next?

 03:46 – How Silver Was Removed From Money

04:35 – Silver Preserves Purchasing Power

05:11 – Why Sound Money Can’t Be Inflated Away

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MA36x52TTUk

“Tidbits From TNT” Friday 2=6=2-26

TNT:

Tishwash:  Indonesia's historic growth exceeds expectations amid geopolitical challenges and currency pressures

According to official figures released on Thursday, the Indonesian economy experienced a strong recovery in 2025, becoming the largest economy in Southeast Asia with a growth rate of 5.11 percent, surpassing the previous year's performance and achieving the fastest annual growth rate since 2022, thanks to a combination of strong consumer spending and massive investments. 

These results were driven primarily by an exceptional performance in the last quarter of the year, which recorded growth of 5.39 percent, exceeding analysts’ expectations of only 5.01 percent, as a result of the financial stimulus packages injected by the government worth more than 16 trillion rupees, which included direct support measures such as rice distribution and tax exemptions for the tourism sector.

Despite these positive figures, which bolster President Prabowo Subianto's ambitions to achieve 8 percent growth by 2029, the landscape is not without significant challenges, including international trade tensions, US tariffs, and declining foreign investor confidence.

This growth coincided with shifts in fiscal and monetary policy, including a 150-basis-point interest rate cut and a leadership change at the Ministry of Finance, with Purbaya Yodi Sadiwa replacing Sri Mulyani Indrawati.

This move triggered market turmoil, leading to capital outflows and a record low for the rupee against the dollar due to concerns about transparency and the budget deficit.

While the government is targeting 5.4 percent growth for 2026, relying on sovereign wealth fund investments and public spending programs, skeptical voices from economists and local research centers are emerging, pointing to a gap between official data and the reality on the ground.

Their doubts are based on contradictory indicators such as declining tax revenues, stagnant foreign investment, falling car sales, and a contraction in industrial activity, in addition to reports of layoffs that may suggest the announced household spending figures are inflated and do not reflect the true economic situation of citizens.  link

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Tishwash: The Central Bank Governor discusses with the American side support for monetary stability.

The Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq, Mr. Ali Mohsen Ismail Al-Alaq, received the Chargé d'Affaires of the United States Embassy in Iraq, Mr. Josh Harris. They discussed prospects for strengthening the strategic partnership between the two countries and emphasized the importance of supporting monetary and economic stability, in line with the requirements for political and security stability in Iraq.

For his part, the Governor expressed his gratitude for the continued support provided by the United States, represented by the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve, particularly during the quarterly meetings.

He also reviewed the banking reform plan and the notable progress made in stabilizing foreign exchange transactions and regulating dollar sales according to best practices and international standards.

At the conclusion of the meeting, Mr. Harris expressed his full readiness to continue supporting the efforts of the Central Bank of Iraq, enabling it to achieve its goals in promoting financial and monetary stability.

Central Bank of Iraq, 
Media Office, 
February 5, 2026    link

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Tishwash:  The general budget law: Can it be issued in the event of a constitutional vacuum?

A financial advisor confirmed that the 2026 budget law can be issued in the event of any constitutional vacuum, after consulting the opinion of the Supreme Federal Court.

The Prime Minister’s financial advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Salih, explained on Thursday that government spending will continue according to the (1/12) rule until the 2026 budget is approved, while noting that the monthly salaries of employees, retirees and welfare amount to 8 trillion dinars.

Continuation of fiscal policy

Saleh said : “The fiscal policy has been carrying out its duties since the second month of this year 2026 in accordance with the provisions of the amended Federal Financial Management Law No. (6) of 2019, by spending at a rate of (1/12) of the actual current public expenditures for the year 2025.”

He explained that “public finances benefit from the provisions of paragraph (29) of the aforementioned law, which allows the financial authority to adopt temporary financing mechanisms and liquidity management in the event that spending cannot be carried out according to the legally legislated regular budget.”

He added that “the aforementioned provisions confirm the principle of temporary financing in the event of a delay in the approval of the budget law or a temporary shortage of liquidity necessary for spending. This allows the Ministry of Finance to take transitional financial measures that ensure the continued disbursement of priority expenditures without delay. Foremost among these are salaries, wages, pensions and social welfare allocations, which are estimated at about eight trillion dinars per month.”

The possibility of issuing the general budget law

Regarding the possibility of legislating the budget law in the event of a failure to elect a president, Saleh explained that “this is a rare occurrence, but it may impose itself due to the necessities of the supreme national interest, especially since the House of Representatives is the constitutional body competent to legislate the budget law. In this context, the possibility of issuing the 2026 budget law can be considered after consulting the opinion of the Supreme Federal Court, as it is a constitutional court specializing in resolving the problems of parliamentary sessions, especially in cases of the complete absence of the president.”

He also pointed out that “the President of the Republic, Abdul Latif Jamal Rashid, and the Prime Minister, Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani, are still in a position of legal responsibility at the moment, which allows, in principle, the request to prepare a draft of the federal general budget law and submit it to the House of Representatives to begin the legislative process, if the elected legislative authority wishes to do so.”  link

Mot: How Long Does it Take ~~~~

Mot: Should I Share -- I Shouldn't Have to Suffer Alone says I !!!!

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Friday Morning 2-6-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

Russia’s Economy Enters Stagnation Phase — Strategic Implications Multiply

Sanctions pressure, war spending, and shrinking revenues collide

Overview

Russia’s economy has entered a stagnation phase, according to recent assessments from international institutions and independent analysts. After years of wartime stimulus masking deeper structural weakness, growth is slowing sharply as energy revenues fall, labor shortages intensify, and fiscal strain mounts. This shift carries significant implications for global energy markets, geopolitical leverage, and the broader balance of economic power.

Key Developments

• Russia’s GDP growth has slowed to near-zero levels as wartime stimulus loses momentum.

• Oil and gas revenues — once accounting for roughly 40% of federal income — have declined to closer to 25%, tightening budget flexibility.

• Labor shortages, inflation pressures, and rising corporate bankruptcies are weighing on productivity.

• Analysts warn the Kremlin is increasingly relying on reserves and tax hikes to sustain spending.

Why It Matters

Economic stagnation limits Russia’s ability to project power abroad, sustain prolonged conflict, and maintain influence in global energy markets. As growth slows, Moscow’s leverage over trade partners weakens while domestic economic risks rise.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

A weakening Russian economy reduces confidence in commodity-linked trade settlements and exposes vulnerabilities in currencies tied to energy exports.
Reserve diversification weakens single-currency dominance, reinforcing the global shift away from reliance on any one economic power.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 – Financial Realignment
Reduced Russian economic output pressures alternative trade systems and accelerates demand for multipolar settlement frameworks.

Pillar 2 – Geopolitical Rebalancing
Economic stagnation constrains long-term strategic ambitions, reshaping power dynamics across Eurasia and energy markets.

Economic gravity is shifting — and even resource powers are not immune.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

The Guardian — “The Russian economy is finally stagnating. What does it mean for the war — and for Putin?”

IMF / United24 Media — “IMF forecasts sharp slowdown in Russian economic growth”

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Trump Unveils TrumpRx — Government Discount Prescription Drug Website

New federal platform aims to help Americans access lower‑priced medications amid rising healthcare costs

Overview

On February 5, 2026, President Donald Trump officially launched TrumpRx.gov, a new federal website designed to help consumers find and obtain discounted prescription drugs by connecting them with manufacturers’ direct‑to‑consumer purchasing channels and pharmacy discount coupons. Rather than acting as a pharmacy, the site serves as a centralized price‑comparison and discount portal, part of the administration’s broader effort to address high drug costs in the U.S. and ease the financial burden on patients.

What TrumpRx Is and How It Works

• Not a direct seller: TrumpRx does not sell medications itself. The platform instead provides links to participating drug manufacturers’ own online ordering systems or offers printable discount coupons that patients can use at pharmacies.

• Discount agreements: At launch, more than 40 medications from major pharmaceutical companies — including Pfizer, Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, AstraZeneca, and others — were featured at reduced cash prices negotiated through most‑favored‑nation‑style deals.

• Who benefits most: The site is anticipated to be most useful for uninsured or cash‑paying patients, as purchases through TrumpRx normally will not count toward insurance deductibles or out‑of‑pocket maximums for those with coverage.

• Medications included: Discounted drugs include diabetes treatments (e.g., Januvia), high‑cost GLP‑1 weight‑loss medications (e.g., Ozempic, Wegovy), fertility treatments, asthma inhalers, and other medicines across multiple therapeutic categories.

Why It Matters

Prescription drug prices in the United States are among the highest in the developed world, imposing significant out‑of‑pocket costs on many Americans — especially those without robust insurance. TrumpRx aims to:

• Increase transparency around drug pricing

• Offer alternatives to traditional pharmacy pricing

• Provide tangible savings for some high‑cost, brand‑name medications

• Exert pricing pressure on pharmaceutical manufacturers by spotlighting lower cash‑pay prices through federal negotiation leverage

The initiative is part of a broader political and policy push by the administration to show concrete action on cost‑of‑living issues as healthcare affordability remains a key concern for many voters.

Context and Debate

Although the TrumpRx launch has drawn praise from supporters who view it as a step toward lowering drug costs, critics and some health policy experts warn that:

• The benefits may be limited for insured patients, since savings through the portal may not apply to insurance claims or be factored into annual deductibles.

• Price reductions offered on the site may mirror existing manufacturer discounts available elsewhere, meaning some savings may not be unique to the portal itself.

• Long‑term structural reform — such as changes to drug rebate rules, patent law, or insurance‑based pricing mechanisms — remains unresolved.

Still, supporters see TrumpRx as a symbolic and practical policy tool toward greater drug price transparency, and a potential model for future legislative reforms.

Why It Matters to Consumers

• Uninsured patients now have a centralized platform to compare drug prices.

• Patients with high drug costs may find significant savings on certain expensive prescriptions.

• Transparency increases price competition between drug manufacturers and pharmacies, potentially improving affordability.

Implications for U.S. Healthcare Policy

TrumpRx represents a federal attempt to influence pricing behavior in the pharmaceutical marketplace without sweeping legislative changes. Its real‑world impact will depend on consumer adoption, manufacturer participation, and how insurers respond.

This is not just a technical website launch — it’s a high‑profile federal effort to reshape aspects of the U.S. prescription pricing ecosystem.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Reuters — “Trump unveils TrumpRx discounted drugs website”

Associated Press — “Trump administration launches TrumpRx website for discounted drugs”

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BRICS vs G7: Trade and Economic Influence in a Shifting Global Order

Emerging markets close the gap with advanced economies as global trade patterns evolve

Overview

Over the past two decades, BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and expanding members like UAE, Iran and Egypt) have steadily increased their share of global economic output and trade — narrowing the historical gap with the Group of Seven (G7) advanced economies. Official data and respected economic reports show that while the G7 still leads in nominal trade volumes and GDP, BRICS economies are growing faster, capturing a rising share of global merchandise exports, and moving toward potential parity in key metrics within the next few years.

Trade Shares: BRICS Catching Up With G7

• According to an Ernst & Young (EY) India report, the BRICS+ group’s share of global merchandise exports rose from about 10.7% in 2000 to 23.3% in 2023, while the G7 share declined from 45.1% to 28.9% over the same period. Projections suggested BRICS+ could overtake the G7’s export share by 2026 if trends continue.

• By 2024, broader analyses show that BRICS export volumes approached parity with G7 countries, accounting for roughly 28% of world exports versus about 32% for the G7 — a historic narrowing of the trade share gap.

Drivers of the Shift

• China’s dominance in manufacturing and export capacity — contributing a large share of BRICS trade volume — is a principal factor in the bloc’s rising global trade influence.

• India’s expanding export base and younger, rapidly urbanizing population support broadening BRICS economic clout.

• Newer members such as UAE, Indonesia, Iran, Egypt and Ethiopia further expand the bloc’s global trade footprint and diversify export bases across energy, agriculture, technology and manufacturing.

Comparative Economic Indicators

Trade is only one dimension of global economic influence. Broader structural data also shows key pattern shifts:

• BRICS countries have increased their share of global GDP on a purchasing power parity (PPP) basis, overtaking the G7 bloc as early as 2018 and widening the lead in subsequent years.

• Despite gains in aggregate GDP and trade, BRICS economies still lag behind the G7 on a per‑capita income basis, reflecting differing stages of development.

Why It Matters

Global Trade Architecture

The gradual rise of BRICS export share and narrowing of G7 dominance reflect long‑term structural change in global commerce. Expanding trade among emerging markets and with the wider world is transforming global supply chains and reducing dependency on traditional Western trade hubs.

Multipolar Economic Power

As BRICS nations grow their share of trade and GDP, policymakers and investors increasingly view global economic power as multipolar rather than Western‑centric. This shift influences currency demand, investment patterns, development financing, and geopolitical alignments.

Monetary & Trade Policy Impacts

The evolving balance between BRICS and G7 affects:

• How governments negotiate trade agreements

• Strategic priorities in export diversification

• Long‑term forecasts for infrastructure and industry development

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 — Redefined Trade Leadership:
The narrowing trade share gap marks a move toward distributed economic leadership, reducing overconcentration of global trade influence in any single bloc.

Pillar 2 — Emerging Market Ascendancy:
BRICS’ growth demonstrates the expanding role of developing economies in setting global commerce and investment norms — a central theme in the global reset narrative.

This shift isn’t overnight — it’s a multi‑decade realignment of where economic activity flows and who writes the rules of global trade.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Andaman Partners — “The Rise of BRICS in World Trade: Catching Up With the G7”

Outlook Business (EY India report) — “BRICS+ Set to Overtake G7 in Global Trade by 2026, EY Report Reveals”

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Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Friday Morning 2-6-26

Government Advisor: All Salaries And Pensions Are Fully Secured And The Financial Situation Is Stable.

Economy News – Baghdad   The Prime Minister’s financial advisor, Mazhar Muhammad Saleh, confirmed on Friday that all salaries are secured and the financial situation is stable, while explaining that the delay in salaries is due to temporary procedures for disbursement mechanisms and financial timings.

According to the official agency, Saleh said that “any limited delay that may occur in the disbursement of salaries is not in itself a financial crisis, nor does it reflect a shortage of resources or a breach of obligations, but rather it is due to temporary organizational and procedural considerations related to disbursement mechanisms and the management of financial timings.”

He affirmed that “salaries, pensions, and social welfare allowances are fully secured within the approved financial framework,” noting that “regular disbursement is the general rule, with the possibility of limited time differences in some exceptional cases, without this affecting financial stability or the ability to meet entitlements.”

Saleh stressed that "the financial situation is stable, and liquidity management will continue in a way that ensures the sustainability of public spending and protects the incomes of employees, retirees and social welfare beneficiaries, while working to reduce any delays to the lowest possible level, within the priorities of spending in public finance." https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65384

The Dollar Jumps Near Its Highest Level And Is On Track For Its Strongest Weekly Performance In Months.

Money and Business  Economy News - Follow-up   The dollar reached near a two-week high on Friday and is on track for its strongest weekly performance since November after a stock sell-off due to concerns about artificial intelligence spending rattled investors, while the yen rose ahead of Sunday's national elections.

The dollar has been rising since US President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to head the Federal Reserve (the US central bank) last week. Markets expect him to be less aggressive in lowering interest rates, easing some concerns about the central bank's independence.

The sharp decline in technology stocks this week comes as investors worry about massive spending on artificial intelligence, as well as the ripple effect of rapidly evolving AI tools that could turn various sectors upside down.

Investors' appetite for risk aversion provided support for the dollar despite a decline in U.S. Treasury yields after economic data pointed to a weaker-than-expected labor market, ahead of the highly anticipated January jobs report.

The dollar index, which measures the performance of the US currency against six other currencies, reached 97.961, hovering near its highest level since January 23. The index is on track for a 1 percent gain this week, its biggest weekly rise since mid-November.

The yen rose to 156.74 ahead of the national elections to be held early next week, which Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is likely to win.

The euro reached $1.1784 after the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged as expected on Thursday, and downplayed the impact of dollar movements on its future decisions.

The British pound suffered sharp losses and settled at $1.3520 after falling by about one percent in the previous session.

The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged on Thursday, after an unexpectedly close vote of five to four.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin rose 1.5 percent to $64,158 in volatile trading. The cryptocurrency had earlier hit its lowest level since October 2024 at $60,017. It is on track for a 16 percent weekly decline, its biggest drop since November 2022.        https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65375

Iraq Jumps In Global Gold Reserve Rankings

Money and Business  Economy News – Baghdad   The latest official global gold reserves data for February 2026 showed that Iraq increased its reserves of the yellow metal to more than 174 tons, which contributed to its advancement to 28th place globally after it was in 29th place.

According to the data, Iraq’s gold reserves reached 174.6 tons, up from 170.9 tons in the previous month, representing 24.6% of the country’s total foreign currency reserves, indicating a growing reliance on the precious metal as a hedging tool and a support for monetary stability.

The United States topped the list with a reserve of 8,133 tons, followed by Germany with 3,350 tons, then Italy in third place with 2,451 tons, France in fourth place with 2,437 tons, while Russia came in fifth with a reserve of 2,326 tons.

Saudi Arabia topped the list of Arab countries with a reserve of 323 tons, followed by Lebanon with 286 tons, while Iraq came in third among Arab countries with a reserve of 174.6 tons, ahead of a number of other Arab countries.

The council added that Iraq bought one ton of gold in March 2025, 1.6 tons in June, 3.1 tons in July, 2.5 tons in August, and 3.8 tons in October 2025.

It is worth noting that the World Gold Council, which is based in the United Kingdom, includes the world’s largest gold mining companies and has extensive experience in analyzing market trends and factors affecting the price of the precious metal.   https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65363

The United States Urges Its Citizens To Leave Iran "Now".

Arabic and international    Economy News - Follow-up   The "virtual" US embassy in Tehran has asked American citizens to leave Iran immediately.   In a "security alert" published Friday, the embassy urged American citizens to "leave Iran now" and prepare exit plans that do not rely on assistance from the U.S. government.

The statement warned American citizens in Iran of the risks of "continued heightened security measures, road closures, disruption of public transportation, internet shutdowns, and the Iranian government's continued restrictions on access to national mobile, fixed-line, and internet networks, as well as airlines reducing or canceling flights to and from Iran."

The statement said that "American citizens should expect continued internet outages, plan for alternative means of communication, and, if safe, consider leaving Iran by land to Armenia or Türkiye."

This comes as the United States and Iran hold negotiations in Muscat in an attempt to reduce tensions in relations between the two countries, amid a massive buildup of US forces in the region and Washington's threats to strike Iran if it refuses to make a deal on its nuclear and missile program and its regional policies.  https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65377

Minister Of Resources: Groundwater Is A National Treasure, And Fines Will Be Imposed For Drilling Wells Without Permits.

Economy News – Baghdad   The Ministry of Water Resources confirmed on Friday that it has imposed large financial penalties on those who dig wells without obtaining official approvals, while noting that there is strict governance in place to manage this issue.

Minister of Water Resources, Aoun Diab, said that "the ministry is dealing very cautiously with the groundwater issue and does not support expanding its use," stressing "the existence of strict governance for managing this vital resource."

 He explained that "drilling wells is prohibited without the approval of the Ministry of Water Resources, including private wells," noting that "violators are subject to large financial penalties in addition to the filling in of the violating well."

 He added that "groundwater represents an important national resource, and preserving it is a national responsibility," noting that "some neighboring countries, including Saudi Arabia, have suffered from the depletion of groundwater as a result of excessive use, which has caused them major problems."

 He added that "the Ministry of Water Resources is giving this file great attention, and insists on managing groundwater in a rational and balanced manner, in order to ensure its sustainability for the longest possible period and to extend the life of water reservoirs for future generations."  https://economy-news.net/content.php?id=65382

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Evening 2-5-26

Good Evening Dinar Recaps,

Global Markets Slide as Tech Rout and Metals Selloff Deepen

Risk appetite fades amid monetary uncertainty

 Overview

Global markets extended losses as technology stocks fell sharply and silver suffered another steep decline, reflecting shifting expectations around growth, interest rates, and monetary policy.

Key Developments

• World equities declined, led by tech stocks.

• Silver and other metals weakened sharply.

• Investors reassessed inflation, rate cuts, and currency trends.

Why It Matters

Market selloffs often precede capital reallocation, not collapse. The repricing of tech and metals reflects uncertainty about growth leadership and reserve asset preferences.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Volatility boosts demand for liquidity

• Precious metals retracements shake weak hands

• Currency hedging strategies adjust rapidly

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 – Asset Repricing:
Old winners are being challenged.

Pillar 2 – Liquidity Over Leverage:
Markets are favoring flexibility over speculation.

The reset is rarely smooth — it’s volatile by design.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Reuters — “World stocks extend tech rout, silver savaged again”

Reuters — “Asia shares extend global tech rout, silver tumbles again”

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India’s 400-Airport Push by 2047 Boosts BRICS Global South Connectivity

Major aviation infrastructure vision aligns with India’s BRICS presidency and regional integration goals

Overview

India has unveiled an ambitious aviation expansion roadmap targeting over 400 airports by 2047, a dramatic increase from around 160 airports today. Announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the Wings India 2026 summit, the initiative aims to widen regional connectivity, support economic development, and position India — and by extension the BRICS bloc — as a central hub for Global South cooperation and infrastructure integration.

Key Developments

1. Ambitious Airport Network Expansion
Prime Minister Modi outlined India’s long-term plan to expand its airport network from just over 160 today to more than 400 by 2047. The expansion is part of a broader vision to democratize air travel, enhance accessibility for Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, and foster economic opportunity across the country.

2. Historical Growth and Strategic Goals
India’s aviation sector has seen rapid growth over the last decade — from 70 airports in 2014 to over 160 today — driven by policy initiatives like the UDAN regional connectivity scheme. The next phase of expansion is designed to sustain this momentum and deepen domestic and international air links.

3. Global South and BRICS Connectivity Implications
Officials tied this infrastructure agenda to India’s 2026 BRICS presidency, positioning enhanced air networks as a vehicle for South-South cooperation, tourism growth, and increased trade connectivity. While the primary expansion is a domestic program, its strategic resonance with BRICS goals reflects India’s intent to strengthen infrastructure ties across developing economies.

4. Sustainable Aviation Fuel & Green Aviation Agenda
India is also pursuing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) development to support greener air transport. Industry reports show India is planning SAF production scale-ups that align with national decarbonization and aviation growth objectives — potentially reducing emissions and import dependency over time.

Why It Matters

The aviation network expansion underpins several structural trends relevant to global economic realignment and the broader global reset:

• Infrastructure as Growth Engine: Air connectivity expands market reach, facilitates commerce, and accelerates mobility across regions that have been historically under-served.

• Regional Leadership: India’s move signals emerging economies’ willingness to build parallel physical and economic infrastructure, complementing financial and trade alternatives within frameworks like BRICS.

• Strategic Integration: Enhanced connectivity supports tourism, commerce, and supply chains — enabling deeper integration among Global South nations.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Expanding India’s aviation network can influence capital flows, currency demand, and investment decisions:

• Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in airports, airlines, and ancillary services may rise.

• Commercial transactions across borders could increasingly use local contracts supported by robust physical connectivity.

• Tourism and business travel growth has multiplier effects on currency circulation in emerging markets.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 — Infrastructure Sovereignty:
Physical connectivity is as important as financial and digital infrastructure in reducing dependence on traditional Western-centric systems.

Pillar 2 — South-South Integration:
India’s aviation roadmap reinforces multilateral cooperation among developing economies, deepening interdependence outside U.S.–European networks.

This isn’t just an airport plan — it’s a strategic runway for a more connected Global South.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Malaysia Sun / ANI — “India to have over 400 airports by 2047, says PM Modi while addressing Wings India virtually”

India Today — “PM praises India’s aviation boom, says govt aiming for 400 airports by 2047”

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Japan Political Stability Seen as Supportive for Yen and Bonds

Election outcome may anchor global capital flows

Overview

Analysts say a decisive electoral win for Japan’s leadership could provide support for Japanese bonds and the yen, reinforcing stability in one of the world’s most important financial anchor nations.

Key Developments

• Japan’s ruling party expected to secure a strong mandate.

• Markets see continuity as positive for bond yields and currency stability.

• Japan remains the world’s largest foreign creditor nation.

Why It Matters

Japan’s financial stability underpins global liquidity, carry trades, and reserve allocations. Political continuity reduces uncertainty during a time of widespread global transition.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Yen stability affects global FX correlations

• Bond market confidence influences risk appetite worldwide

• Reserve managers watch Japan closely

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 – Anchor Economies Matter:
Stable pillars reduce systemic risk.

Pillar 2 – Controlled Transition:
Not all resets are disruptive — some are quiet.

In a volatile world, stability becomes a currency.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Reuters — “Decisive win for Japan PM Takaichi may be best scenario for bonds, yen”

Yahoo! Finance (AFP) — “Japan election outcome seen boosting yen and bond markets”

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Bank of America Predicted Silver Prices Could Hit $309 in 2026. Is That Still in Play?

Bank of America Predicted Silver Prices Could Hit $309 in 2026. Is That Still in Play?

Pathikrit Bose  Barchart   Thu, February 5, 2026

Well, the party had to end sometime. After a searing rally in 2025, the bellwether precious metals of gold and silver have had a not-so-shiny start to 2026. Following the Trump administration's decision to appoint the relatively hawkish Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve chairman after Jay Powell's tenure ends in May, there was an abrupt halt to the bullish freight train in gold and silver prices.

Dips of 2-4% for gold and a much sharper 33% in a single trading session for silver were widely attributed to a rebounding U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields as investors adjusted to the prospect of a Warsh-led Fed, which many fear will be less inclined to provide the aggressive rate cuts that fueled the 2025 rally.

Now, Bank of America's head of metals research, Michael Widmer, has sounded another warning to silver fans. Remarking that the metal's price could cap at $309 for the year, he suggested that silver could still outperform gold this year.

So, should investors heed Widmer's caution about silver and steer clear of the precious metal, or has the stinging correction presented itself as an opportunity for a renewed uptick? Let's find out.

Silver Lining

It is quite ironic that it was Donald Trump's acerbic and loud “America First” economic policies, coupled with tariffs to and fro, that triggered the rally in the precious metals in the first place. Now, that has come full circle, with Trump's appointment of Warsh as Fed Chair marking the demise of the same rally.

Still, the silver futures contract for March 2026 (SIH26) is up more than 25% on a year-to-date (YTD) basis. Meanwhile, the biggest silver ETF in terms of AUM ($46.2 billion) and volume (daily volume of 175.5 million), the iShares Silver Trust (SLV), is up about 26% in the same period and 180% over the past year. In fact, at the start of 2025, SLV's AUM was about $13.4 billion. By the time the year closed, it had surged manifold to roughly $38 billion, with an average monthly inflow of about $2.02 billion per month in 2025.

Needless to say, SLV has outperformed the S&P 500 ($SPX) by a wide margin in the year.

Coming to the March futures contract, the recent selloff has come as a jolt and paints a more realistic picture, at least for the shorter term. The Put/Call Premium ratio for the contract stands at 0.92. What this essentially means is that even though more money is still in calls, the fact that the ratio is so close to 1.0 (at 0.92) shows that the "cost of protection" is rising rapidly. Bears are paying nearly as much for puts as bulls are for calls.

However, as the heading suggests, there is certainly a silver lining, and the appointment of Warsh does not change that. As a side note, Warsh has never launched a diatribe against silver, which is also a positive. Now to the other, more structural positives that would support silver prices and may even lead to a resumption of its upward journey in 2026.

Firstly, there's no indication of a major increase in output this year. In fact, most data points toward stagnation or even a decline in production, which should provide a significant floor for prices despite the hawkish shift at the Fed.

The most telling indication came just a few days ago from Fresnillo (FNLPF), the world’s largest primary silver producer, which officially cut its 2026 silver production targets. They revised their guidance down to 42–46.5 million ounces (moz), from a previous forecast of 45–51 moz.

Moreover, according to the Silver Institute and recent 2026 outlooks, we are entering the fifth (and potentially sixth) consecutive year of a structural deficit. In fact, the cumulative deficit over the last few years has reached nearly 820 moz. Thus, even with the recent price crash, the "physical" market remains tight because miners simply cannot speed up the 7-to-15-year lead time required to open new mines.

Industrial Demand

And then there is the tailwind of industrial demand.

Notably, silver stands out as the finest electrical conductor of all metals, surpassing even copper (widely used in wiring and power grids) and gold. While it is not employed universally, this property drives very strong demand in select high-growth areas closely linked to emerging economic trends.

Electric vehicles, for instance, require nearly twice as much silver per unit as conventional internal combustion engine vehicles. Hybrids show a similar pattern, consuming elevated quantities of the metal.

Consumer electronics (smartphones, laptops, and other devices) also rely on silver for reliable performance. In defense applications, silver remains essential for components in radar systems, submarines, and missile technology. Lastly, silver plays a critical role in photovoltaic cells, and with solar power positioned to expand rapidly as a key energy source to support the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout, demand from this segment is expected to accelerate significantly.

To Continue and Read More: https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/bank-america-predicted-silver-prices-123002375.html  

The Real Shock Wasn't the Correction, It Was the 'Unsettling' 30% Melt-Up in January

Cavatoni: The Real Shock Wasn't the Correction, It Was the 'Unsettling' 30% Melt-Up in January

Kitco News:  2-4-2026

The market is repricing risk as capital rotates from the "Paper Economy" of tech stocks into the "Managed Economy" of strategic hard assets.

In this episode of Kitco News, Anchor Jeremy Szafron is joined by Joe Cavatoni, Market Strategist for the World Gold Council, to break down the massive discrepancy in central bank gold buying data.

While official IMF data reports approximately 326 tonnes of net buying for 2025, Cavatoni reveals that the "true" demand—including unreported OTC flows—is tracking closer to 680 tonnes.

They discuss why sovereigns are "going dark" with their accumulation, the implications of the "Project Vault" price floors for critical minerals like Silver, and why the "violent" 30% melt-up in January was a bigger danger signal than the recent correction. Recorded: February 4th 2026.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview

00:08 Technology Trade Unwinds: The Rotation from AI to Hard Assets

00:29 Project Vault and Government Policy: The "Managed Economy"

01:49 Market Response and Gold Performance (Intraday Volatility)

 02:07 Interview with Joe Cavatoni: Gold Market Insights

02:54 Central Bank Gold Buying Trends: The "Unreported" 350 Tonnes

 06:04 Gold Market Volatility and Investor Behavior: The "Air Pocket" Rally

09:38 Silver as a Strategic Asset: Critical Mineral Risks

12:24 Central Bank Reserve Strategies: Uzbekistan & Price Insensitivity

 15:52 Macro Drivers and Gold Allocation: The Tech Rotation

22:44 Conclusion and Key Takeaways

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTEdhchyI8E

Treasuries ONLY Do This Right Before a MARKET CRASH!

Treasuries ONLY Do This Right Before a MARKET CRASH!

Steven Van Metre:  2-4-2026

Your money depends on knowing this because these signals preceded both the dot com bubble and the global financial crisis and have an average draw down of 44%!

The bond market is flashing warning signs that have historically preceded some of the most significant stock market crashes in recent history, including the dotcom bubble, the global financial crisis, and the Covid-19 market dip.

These signals are reemerging, indicating a potential imminent crash with an average drawdown of 44%. In this blog post, we’ll delve into the details of these alarming signals and what they might mean for investors.

At the center of these warning signs is the yield curve, specifically the relationship between short-term Treasury bills and longer-term bonds. The yield curve is steepening in a pattern known as a “bear steepener,” reflecting rising long-term borrowing costs amid tightening liquidity, fiscal pressures, and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve’s policies.

This phenomenon typically foreshadows economic slowdowns and stock market crashes.

The bear steepener is not just a minor anomaly; it’s a significant indicator that the economy is heading for a slowdown. As long-term borrowing costs rise, it becomes more expensive for consumers and businesses to borrow money, which can lead to a decrease in spending and investment.

This, in turn, can have a ripple effect throughout the economy, leading to a slowdown in economic growth.

The bond market signals are not the only indication of an impending economic slowdown. Weakening fundamentals in the labor market and services sector are also cause for concern.

Weak job creation, rising part-time employment for economic reasons, stagnant service employment, and unsustainable production growth compared to new orders all point to a slowdown in economic activity.

As backlogs are cleared, layoffs are expected to rise, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. This is not just a minor correction; it’s a significant downturn that could have far-reaching consequences for investors.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s recent announcements suggest attempts to manage short-term rates by maintaining auction sizes of bills, aiming to keep short-term rates elevated without pushing long-term rates further up.

However, this strategy may not prevent the unfolding downturn. It’s a band-aid solution that might provide temporary relief but won’t address the underlying issues driving the economic slowdown.

So, what can investors do to navigate this environment? The presenter advises diversifying away from banks, technology, and cyclical stocks into defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare. These sectors tend to be less volatile and more resilient during economic downturns.

For experienced investors with higher risk tolerance, tactical short positions in major indices, especially big tech, are recommended. Holding a significant cash or short-term Treasury allocation can also provide a safety net and capitalize on potential buying opportunities during the anticipated crash.

For investors looking for a more sophisticated approach to trading, an optimized CTA trading system that uses machine learning to identify high-probability trades across equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities may be worth considering. This system boasts an 87% win rate and substantial recent gains, offering a risk-managed approach to trading amid volatile markets.

The bond market is sending alarming signals that have historically preceded major stock market crashes. The yield curve is steepening, and weakening fundamentals in the labor market and services sector are cause for concern. While Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s strategy might provide temporary relief, it’s unlikely to prevent the unfolding downturn.

Investors should consider diversifying into defensive sectors, taking tactical short positions, and holding a significant cash or short-term Treasury allocation to navigate this environment. For those looking for a more sophisticated approach to trading, an optimized CTA trading system may be worth exploring.

For further insights and information, watch the full video from Steven Van Metre. Stay informed, and stay ahead of the curve.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2NndiqDQp0

Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Afternoon 2-5-26

Good Afternoon Dinar Recaps,

U.S. and Russia Reopen Military Channels in Quiet Strategic Shift

High-level dialogue resumes as Washington and Moscow seek to manage escalation risks

Overview

The United States and Russia have agreed to reestablish high-level military-to-military communications, marking a notable shift in tone between the two nuclear superpowers. The talks are aimed at reducing the risk of miscalculation amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and active conflict zones.

Key Developments

• U.S. defense officials confirmed that formal military dialogue channels will reopen, reversing years of near-total suspension.

• The talks are designed to avoid unintended escalation, particularly as global flashpoints remain active.

• This development comes alongside renewed diplomatic engagement on conflict management rather than outright confrontation.

Why It Matters

Direct military communication between Washington and Moscow reduces the risk of accidental escalation in an increasingly fragmented global security environment. Even limited dialogue signals a shift from total isolation toward managed rivalry, a key feature of emerging multipolar order.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Reduced geopolitical tail risk can:

• Stabilize energy markets

• Ease safe-haven demand spikes

• Influence capital flows away from panic-driven positioning

For global currency holders, this kind of engagement supports controlled de-risking rather than systemic shock.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 – Security Architecture Reset:
Old Cold War communication frameworks are quietly being rebuilt in a multipolar world.

Pillar 2 – Market Risk Repricing:
Markets price stability before peace — dialogue alone can shift risk premiums.

This is not détente — it’s damage control in a reorganizing world order.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Reuters — “US, Russia to reestablish military-to-military talks”

AP News — “US and Russia agree to reestablish military dialogue after Ukraine talks”

~~~~~~~~~~

Ukraine and Russia Agree Prisoner Swap as Peace Talks Continue

Incremental progress emerges from Abu Dhabi negotiations

Overview

Ukraine and Russia concluded a second round of peace talks with an agreement to exchange hundreds of prisoners of war, a rare diplomatic breakthrough amid a conflict that continues to reshape global energy, food, and security markets.

Key Developments

• Negotiators agreed to a 314-person prisoner exchange.

• Both sides committed to continued talks, signaling a willingness to maintain dialogue.

• The discussions were held in Abu Dhabi, reflecting the growing role of neutral mediators.

Why It Matters

Even limited humanitarian agreements demonstrate that negotiated outcomes remain possible, reducing the probability of perpetual escalation. The war has been a core driver of global inflation, energy volatility, and geopolitical fragmentation.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Progress toward de-escalation can:

• Ease pressure on energy prices

• Reduce inflation hedging demand

• Stabilize European and emerging-market currencies

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 – Conflict Containment:
The world is shifting from zero-sum warfare to managed confrontation.

Pillar 2 – Commodity Stability:
Energy and food markets respond first to peace signals — even small ones.

This isn’t peace — but it is a crack in the wall.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Reuters — “Ukraine, Russia end second round of peace talks with agreement on prisoner swap”

Anadolu Agency — “Russia, Ukraine conduct prisoner swap as 2nd round of

~~~~~~~~~~

Moody’s Turns Cautious on Indonesia in Warning to Emerging Markets

Credit outlook cut highlights governance risks

Overview

Moody’s has revised Indonesia’s credit outlook to negative, citing governance and policy concerns. The move sends a broader signal to investors navigating emerging markets during a period of global monetary and political realignment.

Key Developments

• Indonesia’s sovereign outlook downgraded to negative.

• Moody’s cited institutional and governance risks.

• Indonesia remains strategically important in commodities, manufacturing, and BRICS-linked supply chains.

Why It Matters

Credit outlook changes influence borrowing costs, capital inflows, and currency stability. For emerging markets, credibility and governance are becoming decisive factors as global liquidity tightens.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

• Higher perceived risk can pressure local currencies

• Capital may rotate toward “safe” emerging markets

• Commodity-linked currencies become more sensitive to policy signals

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1 – Capital Discipline:
Markets are no longer forgiving governance weakness.

Pillar 2 – Selective Emerging-Market Growth:
Not all developing economies benefit equally from de-dollarization or multipolar shifts.

The reset rewards stability — not promises.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Reuters — “Moody’s cuts Indonesia outlook to negative on governance concerns”

Bloomberg — “Moody’s assigns negative outlook to Indonesia on governance concerns”

~~~~~~~~~~

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RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

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Seeds of Wisdom RV and Economics Updates Thursday Morning 2-5-26

Good Morning Dinar Recaps,

BRICS Membership Growth: Full Members, Partner Countries, and Saudi Arabia Status

The bloc continues its historic expansion, reshaping global governance dynamics

Overview

BRICS — originally an informal grouping of emerging economies — has expanded significantly since its founding. The organization now includes multiple full member states beyond its original five, along with a formalized partner country category that broadens engagement with other nations. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s membership status has been a diplomatic focal point as the kingdom carefully balances relations with BRICS and the United States.

Full BRICS Members

BRICS began in 2009 as BRIC — composed of:

• Brazil

• Russia

• India

• China

• South Africa (joined in 2010)

The bloc expanded with a new round of full members:

• Egypt — officially joined BRICS on January 1, 2024.

• Ethiopia — officially joined on January 1, 2024.

• Iran — officially joined on January 1, 2024.

• United Arab Emirates (UAE) — officially joined on January 1, 2024.

• Indonesia — officially joined on January 6, 2025.

This brings the total to 10 confirmed full members, reflecting BRICS’ geographic and economic expansion.

BRICS Partner Countries

To broaden its cooperative footprint, BRICS introduced a partner country category in October 2024. Partner status allows countries to participate in certain meetings and initiatives without full membership.

Countries currently holding BRICS partner status include:

• Belarus

• Bolivia

• Cuba

• Kazakhstan

• Malaysia

• Nigeria

• Thailand

• Uganda

• Uzbekistan

• Vietnam

These partner states officially received their status beginning January 1, 2025, after approval at the 2024 BRICS summit in Kazan.

Status of Saudi Arabia’s BRICS Membership

Saudi Arabia was initially invited to join BRICS as part of the Johannesburg 2023 expansion alongside Egypt, Iran, Ethiopia, and the UAE. However, the kingdom has not formally acceded to membership as of early 2026.

According to reports:

• Saudi Arabia was first invited to join in 2023 but has yet to formally accept or finalize membership.

• Participation at BRICS meetings has continued, but no official accession decree or membership ratification has occurred.

• Riyadh’s nuanced position reflects its diplomatic balancing between maintaining strategic ties with the United States and engaging with BRICS economies.

Why It Matters

BRICS’ expanded membership signals a shift toward multipolar governance and economic coordination among major emerging markets. By incorporating additional full members and partner countries, BRICS increases its demographic, economic, and geopolitical weight in global forums.

Why It Matters to Global Politics

Full and partner status broadens BRICS’ influence over global policy discussions—from trade and investment to infrastructure financing and financial architecture reform. The evolution of membership categories also suggests a strategic approach to inclusivity without diluting core decision-making processes.

Implications for Global Governance

Pillar 1: Multipolar Engagement
BRICS expansion demonstrates a growing coalition of states seeking alternatives to traditional Western-led institutions, amplifying developing world voices on the global stage.

Pillar 2: Economic Integration and Influence
Broader membership and formal partnerships strengthen intra-BRICS economic networks, potentially reshaping trade flows, investment patterns, and cooperation on infrastructure and development.

This is not just membership growth — it’s an evolving framework for global economic influence.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

TASS — “FACTBOX: BRICS association’s profile”

BRICS Connect — “Saudi Arabia still not formally a BRICS member, according to report”

~~~~~~~~~~

BRICS Unit Gains Traction — 40+ Countries Positioned to Adopt Alternative Settlement System

BRICS gold-linked digital unit pilot reflects broader de-dollarization efforts and shifting global financial alignments

Overview

A growing number of nations are reportedly poised to participate in an emerging BRICS-linked settlement mechanism — often referred to as the “BRICS Unit” — designed to offer an alternative framework to U.S.-dollar-based international trade settlements. According to recent reporting, over 40 countries are either actively testing, in partnership agreements with, or have applied to join the BRICS Unit ecosystem, signaling broader interest in de-dollarization and multipolar financial architectures.

What Is the BRICS Unit?

The so-called BRICS Unit is described in recent financial coverage as a gold-backed digital trade settlement instrument. Early reports indicate the design employs a reserve structure combining physical gold and a basket of member currencies — with gold providing stability and potential insulation from currency volatility. A pilot version was launched and piloted among core BRICS members late in 2025.

According to one overview:

• The instrument is 40% backed by physical gold and 60% supported by a basket of BRICS national currencies.

• Prototype or pilot use was initiated in late 2025, and participating countries are exploring its use for cross-border trade settlement outside traditional dollar-centric mechanisms.

Countries Positioned to Accept the System

Reporting indicates the BRICS Unit ecosystem engagement includes:

• Full BRICS members — such as Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, UAE, Indonesia, and Saudi Arabia — all of which are reportedly advancing pilots or tests.

• Partner states and applicants — multiple Southeast Asian nations (e.g., Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam) and an array of about 20 additional countries formally seeking participation.

• This broad interest suggests a strategic shift toward alternatives to dollar-dominant settlement systems.

Why It Matters

While the U.S. dollar remains the dominant currency for global trade and reserves, initiatives like the BRICS Unit reflect longstanding efforts by emerging economies to reduce dependence on dollar-centric infrastructure such as SWIFT and traditional correspondent banking networks. Expanded participation by developing and middle-income economies could reshape how international trade is financed and settled.

Why It Matters to Global Markets

If widely adopted, alternative settlement mechanisms can influence:

• Currency demand and reserve allocation

• Trade settlement networks and fees

• Geopolitical balances of financial influence
  These shifts could gradually affect dollar demand in international markets, though gradual rather than immediate replacement is broadly expected by analysts.

Status & Timeline

As of early 2026:

• The BRICS Unit remains in pilot and prototype stages, not yet formally adopted as a legal tender or replacement for national currencies.

• A fully operational settlement platform is anticipated by some estimates between 2026 and 2027, though formal launch and widespread usage timelines remain subject to technical, regulatory, and geopolitical hurdles.

Context & Caution

It’s important to contextualize these developments:

• No formal BRICS common currency has been officially adopted by member nations to replace the U.S. dollar.

• BRICS officials and spokespeople have, in other reporting, stated that while de-dollarization efforts are ongoing (including payment systems and national currency settlements), they are not pursuing an immediate unified currency per se.

This reflects the gradual nature of de-dollarization efforts — with pilots and infrastructure exploration preceding any substantive shift in reserve currency status or trade dominance.

This is not just speculation — it’s the unfolding architecture of a potentially multipolar economic future.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

Watcher.Guru — “Dollar Will Fall As 40+ Countries Are Ready to Accept BRICS Unit”

BTCC Square / Global Cryptocurrency — “BRICS Gold-Backed Digital Currency Gains Momentum as 40+ Countries Seek Dollar Alternative”

~~~~~~~~~~

Seeds of Wisdom Team RV Currency Facts Youtube and Rumble

Newshound's News Telegram Room Link

RV Facts with Proof Links Link

RV Updates Proof links - Facts Link

Follow the Gold/Silver Rate COMEX

Follow Fast Facts

Seeds of Wisdom Team™ Website

Thank you Dinar Recaps

What's Next for Silver? Why Considering Both Sides of the Coin Matters For What Comes Next.

What's Next for Silver? Why Considering Both Sides of the Coin Matters For What Comes Next.

Rob Isbitts    Barchart   Tue, February 3, 2026

The silver (SIH26) market just offered up a perfect example of why analyzing both sides of the coin — and having a plan for both — is the only way to survive as a do-it-yourself investor.

In a matter of 48 hours, the silver rush of 2026 went south. The metal plunged nearly 33% from its historic peak of $121 to a low of $76 on Jan. 30. This was the most violent single-day drop since 1980, and it exposed the fragile nature of any trade built on pure momentum.

The iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV) swelled to $41 billion in assets, even after Friday’s wrecking ball hit. That’s crazy. There’s no other word for it.

SLV hasn’t done anything to hedge against what happened the past few days. Nor should it. It is an exchange-trade fund (ETF) tracking an index. In this case, the price of silver.

It follows that if the ETF is going to always do exactly that, we DIY investors have to do the rest ourselves. Namely, position-size correctly based on what we want. And to take money off the table, at least in part, when spikes in price try to convince us we are infallible.

To understand why this happened and how to handle it next time, we have to look at the two competing forces that define silver's dual identity.

The Case For the Silver Rush

The bull case for silver in early 2026 was, and remains, built on a foundation of physics and industrial necessity. Unlike gold (GCH26), which is mostly stored in vaults, silver is consumed by the modern world.

Over 60% of silver demand now comes from industrial applications that are essential to the 2026 economy. From the massive expansion of solar capacity to the wiring in 15 million new electric vehicles (EVs), silver is a non-negotiable component. Silver has historically been the high-beta version of gold. When investors get nervous about the U.S. dollar or Federal Reserve independence, they buy gold. When they want to supercharge those gains, they buy silver.

The Case For the Silver Crash

The bear case, as we saw in full frontal fashion last week, is built on the reality of leverage and speculative mania. When a commodity goes parabolic, the exchanges eventually step in to cool things down. On Jan. 30, a massive hike in margin requirements acted as the “event.”

Investors who were trading on borrowed money were suddenly forced to either put up more cash or sell their positions immediately. This triggered a cascade of liquidations that wiped out weeks of gains in just hours.

Frankly, I find it borderline irresponsible that in the significant amount of news coverage about silver, rarely did I hear about this threat. I wrote about it on Barchart, but neither before nor after the margin hike was provided as the reason for the drop. It's like Wall Street is trying to hide something.

That said, the immediate catalyst for the crash was the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair. Perceived as a monetary hawk, his nomination signaled a potential end to the era of easy money. This sent U.S. Treasury yields higher and the dollar surging — the two natural enemies of non-yielding assets like silver.

The thrill of the silver trade was replaced by the cold reality of a rising opportunity cost for holding metals.

What’s Next for Silver?

Analyzing both sides of the coin matters here. Because silver is a series of disconnects between industrial physics and speculative fear.

A quick, updated glance at the charts conclude this silver-colored update. The daily looks as we’d expect. Ugly, but still intact in the sense that the PPO is still positive. And that 200-day moving average could be a temporary line in the sand. But that’s for a bounce, not a full reversal to new highs.

To Continue and Read More:  https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/whats-next-silver-why-considering-193957539.html